New Poll: More Americans Now Identify as Democrats Than at Any Point Since 2009 2026

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As the crucial midterm elections approach, a new Gallup poll revealed that more Americans now identify as Democrats than at any point since 2009.

The quarterly poll showed that 50% of those polled said they are Democrats or “lean more” toward the Democratic Party, while 39% said the same about the Republican Party — the highest margin for the Democrats since the first quarter of 2009.

Gallup based the poll on telephone interviews with “random samples” of “3,000 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.” The margin of sampling error was ±2 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, Gallup reported.

That could be bad news for Republicans, who are desperate to keep control of Congress when Americans head to the polls in November. President Donald Trump has even promised $5,000 to every adult if the GOP pulls out a victory.

But polling guru Nate Silver confirmed that’s not very likely.

“This is one of the more consistent elections that I’ve tried to forecast, in that sense that like, every indicator is bad for Republicans,” Silver said on a recent podcast. “Except maybe the outside money, that is the one thing they have going for them.”

In fact, Republicans showed no signs of closing in on the Democrats’ 9-percentage-point advantage — the party’s “largest lead yet in the race for Congress,” according to NBC News’s report on polling averages.

“The congressional average, which stands at 52% to 43% after adjusting to a likely voter scale, measures whether Americans prefer a Congress controlled by Democrats or Republicans before things like individual races and candidates come into play,” the report said.

The outlet explained why examining polling averages gives a more accurate picture of the situation:

Individual polls can bounce around, but an average gives a broad sense of where surveys are trending, and it controls for outliers, which is one reason NBC News released our averages now. At a time when a flurry of polling is released, such as in the homestretch of an election cycle, averages can be valuable tools for tracking what’s happening in the election and diving deeper into how Republicans, Democrats and independents view Trump and the battle for Congress.

Republicans have been trying to frame the midterms as a battle against socialism and communism, since seven congressional candidates are backed by the Democratic Socialists of America. Other candidates, like progressive Abdul El-Sayed (D), who’s running for Senate in Michigan, do not identify as democratic socialists but have been painted as such by Republicans.

Despite the dire predictions for the GOP, Trump predicted at an Ohio rally last week, “They’re in for a big surprise. It’s very simple: You gotta get out and vote. You gotta get out. You gotta vote for these guys,” Trump urged. “If you do that, we’re gonna win and we’re gonna win big.”

“And we’re gonna shove it up their a**, okay?” Trump added.

The post New Poll: More Americans Now Identify as Democrats Than at Any Point Since 2009 first appeared on Mediaite.

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